Viewing archive of Sunday, 6 April 2008

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2008 Apr 06 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 097 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Apr 2008

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No significant flares were observed during the past 24 hours. Region 989 (S11W80) remains spotless. No new regions were numbered.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels due to the influence of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind speeds at the ACE spacecraft ranged from 526 km/sec to a peak of 763 km/sec at 06/0858Z. Bz reached a minimum of -5.3 nT at 05/2257Z. The greater than 2MeV electron flux reached high levels today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly unsettled to active with isolated minor storm periods at high latitudes on day one (07 April), due to the continued effects from the high speed stream. Conditions are expected to become mostly quiet to unsettled, with isolated active periods, on days two and three (08-09 April).
III. Event Probabilities 07 Apr to 09 Apr
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       06 Apr 069
  Predicted   07 Apr-09 Apr  070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        06 Apr 072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 05 Apr  009/021
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 06 Apr  013/020
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 07 Apr-09 Apr  010/015-010/012-010/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Apr to 09 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active30%25%25%
Minor storm10%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active40%35%35%
Minor storm15%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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