Viewing archive of Sunday, 25 May 2008

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2008 May 25 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 146 Issued at 2200Z on 25 May 2008

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z

Solar activity was at very low levels.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. Wind speed measured by the ACE spacecraft began the period at approximately 500 km/s. Since the beginning of the period wind speeds have been declining, and ended the summary period at around 440 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to remain at quiet to unsettled levels, with a slight chance of isolated active conditions at high latitudes for the forecast period (26 to 28 May).
III. Event Probabilities 26 May to 28 May
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       25 May 068
  Predicted   26 May-28 May  068/068/068
  90 Day Mean        25 May 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 24 May  004/007
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 25 May  006/010
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 26 May-28 May  005/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 May to 28 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%20%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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