Viewing archive of Friday, 24 October 2008

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2008 Oct 24 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 298 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Oct 2008

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z

Solar activty was very low. No spots are visible on the solar disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels for the next three days (25-27 October).
III. Event Probabilities 25 Oct to 27 Oct
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       24 Oct 068
  Predicted   25 Oct-27 Oct  067/067/067
  90 Day Mean        24 Oct 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 23 Oct  003/003
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 24 Oct  002/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 25 Oct-27 Oct  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Oct to 27 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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