Viewing archive of Saturday, 25 October 2008

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2008 Oct 25 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 299 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Oct 2008

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z

Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic filed is expected to be mostly quiet for 26-27 October. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected for 28 October.
III. Event Probabilities 26 Oct to 28 Oct
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       25 Oct 068
  Predicted   26 Oct-28 Oct  067/067/067
  90 Day Mean        25 Oct 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 24 Oct  000/002
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 25 Oct  001/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 26 Oct-28 Oct  005/005-005/005-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Oct to 28 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%05%10%
Minor storm01%01%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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