Viewing archive of Tuesday, 29 December 2009
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2009 Dec 29 2241 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
:::::::::: Corrected Copy :::::::::: SDF Number 363 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Dec 2009IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1039 (S28E06)
remains a D-type sunspot group with a beta magnetic classification.
However, the GONG imagery does show some new emerging flux today in
the intermediate area of the sunspot group. No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a chance for an isolated C-flare from Region
1039.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (30 December - 01
January).
III. Event Probabilities 30 Dec to 01 Jan
| Class M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 29 Dec 075 Predicted 30 Dec-01 Jan 078/079/079 90 Day Mean 29 Dec 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Dec 001/001 Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Dec 001/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Dec-01 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Dec to 01 Jan
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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