Viewing archive of Monday, 8 November 2010

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Nov 08 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 312 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Nov 2010

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z

Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 1121 (S19E20) produced two B1 flares during the period. Region 1121 decreased in areal coverage and was classified as an Ero spot group with 12 spots and a beta-gamma magnetic configuration. Region 1122 (N13W31) showed an increase in areal coverage and was classified as a Dro-beta spot group.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low, with a chance for an M-class flare from Region 1121.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels, with an isolated active period at high latitudes.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at predominantly quiet levels for the next three days (09-11 November).
III. Event Probabilities 09 Nov to 11 Nov
Class M50%50%50%
Class X05%05%05%
Proton05%05%05%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       08 Nov 084
  Predicted   09 Nov-11 Nov  085/085/087
  90 Day Mean        08 Nov 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 07 Nov  001/001
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 08 Nov  006/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 09 Nov-11 Nov  005/006-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Nov to 11 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%10%15%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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