Viewing archive of Sunday, 28 August 2011
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2011 Aug 28 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 240 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Aug 2011IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27-2100Z to 28-2100Z
Solar activity was very low. New Region 1281 (S21E64)
produced occasional optical subflares during the period, two of
which were associated with B-class x-ray flares. No significant
activity was noted in the remaining spot groups. A weak Type II
radio sweep occurred at 28/0420Z, likely associated with a filament
disappearance from beyond the west limb. There were no
Earth-directed CMEs observed during the period.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very
low during the period (29 - 31 August) with a chance for an isolated
C-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27-2100Z to 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day 1 (29 August).
Quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected during days 2 - 3 (30 - 31
August).
III. Event Probabilities 29 Aug to 31 Aug
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 28 Aug 101 Predicted 29 Aug-31 Aug 100/098/095 90 Day Mean 28 Aug 097
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 27 Aug 003/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 28 Aug 005/008 Predicted Afr/Ap 29 Aug-31 Aug 008/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Aug to 31 Aug
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Murmansk, VorkutaLatest news
Friday, 28 March 2025
X1.1 solar flare
Monday, 24 March 2025
Coronal hole faces Earth
Saturday, 22 March 2025
Strong G3 geomagnetic storm watch for 23 March
Latest forum messages
AR4046 127Incoming & Unnumbered Active Regions 1657Aurora photography hints for those of us with smartphones 49Large Coronal Hole 25 178LASCO Data Not Updating 5
More topicsSupport SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!
Latest alerts
00:00 UTC - Solar flare
Moderate M1.79 flare
Friday, 28 March 2025
23:36 UTC - Radio Blackout
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.04)
21:24 UTC - Hemispheric Power Index
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 51GW at 21:59 UTC
19:45 UTC - Solar flare
Moderate M1.16 flare
19:27 UTC - Radio Blackout
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.1)
Space weather facts
| Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
| Last M-flare | 2025/03/28 | M1.7 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/27 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
| February 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
| March 2025 | 128.3 -26.4 |
| Last 30 days | 128.3 -23.7 |