Viewing archive of Monday, 14 January 2013

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2013 Jan 14 1205 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 14 Jan 2013 until 16 Jan 2013
Solar flares

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
14 Jan 2013153008
15 Jan 2013150007
16 Jan 2013145007

Bulletin

AR NOAA 1652 and NOAA 1654 remain the most eruptive regions featuring several C flares with the highest value a C6.5 flare originating from NOAA 1652 peaking at 01:22 UT. A very faint and slow (260km/s) CME was observed in LASCO C2 at around 13:00 UT and confirmed with STEREO A and B. It is not likely that this CME will become geo-effective. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet to active in the last 24 hours, we expect geomagnetic conditions to be mostly quiet during the next 48 hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 081, based on 09 stations.

Solar indices for 13 Jan 2013

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux156
AK Chambon La Forêt022
AK Wingst012
Estimated Ap012
Estimated international sunspot number087 - Based on 14 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmRadio burst typesCatania/NOAA
13083508380840----M1.7140III/2,II/2,IV/262/1652

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Yellowknife, NT

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