Viewing archive of Saturday, 30 March 2013

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2013 Mar 30 1219 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 30 Mar 2013 until 01 Apr 2013
Solar flares

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
30 Mar 2013109018
31 Mar 2013115007
01 Apr 2013120012

Bulletin

Solar activity is expected to reach eruptive levels with risks of C-class flares from NOAA ARs 1708 and 1710. A returning region, (previously AR 1698) is just beginning its transit on the disk, and might contribute as well to the slight increase in solar activity. Geomagnetic activity is expected to be mostly quiet for the next 48 hours, with periods of unsettled conditions. Minor storms conditions were observed on March 29 and from 00 to 06 UT on March 30. Strong excursions (down to -10 nT) of the Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field were observed on March 29th, by the ACE spacecraft.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 052, based on 08 stations.

Solar indices for 29 Mar 2013

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux105
AK Chambon La Forêt050
AK Wingst029
Estimated Ap033
Estimated international sunspot number049 - Based on 10 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmRadio burst typesCatania/NOAA
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Active geomagnetic conditions

Observed Kp: 4
Threshold reached: 20:39 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Kuopio, Sodankylä, Utsjoki
Kirkenes, Tromsø, Trondheim
Arkhangelsk, Murmansk
Kiruna, Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå

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