Issued: 2013 May 07 1246 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
07 May 2013 | 127 | 012 |
08 May 2013 | 125 | 010 |
09 May 2013 | 125 | 007 |
Solar activity has been eruptive during the past 24 hours, featuring three C flares from NOAA AR 11731, 11734 and new region 11736. More C-level flares are expected within the next 48 hours, with a slight chance for an M flare. In the last 24 hours, the IMF has decreased from 14 to 6 nT, probably due to the influence of a coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind speeds have ranged between about 460 and 540 km/s, and currently lie around 520 km/s. Bz has been mainly positive, hence geomagnetic activity has been at quiet levels (K Dourbes between 2 and 3; NOAA Kp between 2 and 3) during the past 24 hours. Quiet geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes < 4) are expected for May 7 to 9.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 078, based on 16 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 131 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 015 |
AK Wingst | 012 |
Estimated Ap | 010 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 078 - Based on 23 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Radio burst types | Catania/NOAA | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 22:47 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 21:37 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:41 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 76GW at 08:57 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 01:45 UTC
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/08 | M1.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 144.7 +10.5 |
Last 30 days | 138.8 +1.3 |