Viewing archive of Wednesday, 8 May 2013

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2013 May 08 1250 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 08 May 2013 until 10 May 2013
Solar flares

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
08 May 2013127010
09 May 2013127007
10 May 2013127007

Bulletin

Solar activity has been eruptive during the past 24 hours, featuring five C flares from NOAA AR 11731, 11738, and a new unnumbered region near N03E89. More C-level flares are expected within the next 48 hours, with a slight chance for an M flare. In the last 24 hours, the IMF has decreased further from 6 to 4 nT. Due to the influence of a coronal hole high speed stream, solar wind speeds have ranged between about 480 and 560 km/s, and currently lie around 500 km/s. Similar solar wind speeds are likely on May 8 and 9, with a probably return to lower values on May 10. Geomagnetic activity has been at quiet levels (K Dourbes between 2 and 3; NOAA Kp between 2 and 3) during the past 24 hours. Quiet geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes < 4) are expected for May 8 to 10.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 079, based on 10 stations.

Solar indices for 07 May 2013

Wolf number Catania111
10cm solar flux129
AK Chambon La Forêt014
AK Wingst010
Estimated Ap009
Estimated international sunspot number076 - Based on 27 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmRadio burst typesCatania/NOAA
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

<< Go to daily overview page

Active geomagnetic conditions

Observed Kp: 4
Threshold reached: 22:46 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Reykjavik

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Kuopio, Sodankylä
Trondheim
Arkhangelsk
Kiruna, Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå
The direction of the interplanetary magnetic field is slightly South (-6.38nT).

Latest news

Support SpaceWeatherLive.com!

A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!

Donate SpaceWeatherLive Pro
Support SpaceWeatherLive with our merchandise
Check out our merchandise

Latest alerts

23:00 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 22:47 UTC

alert


20:45 UTC - Hemispheric Power Index

The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 21:37 UTC


01:45 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:41 UTC

alert


Wednesday, 9 April 2025
08:12 UTC - Hemispheric Power Index

The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 76GW at 08:57 UTC


02:00 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 01:45 UTC

alert


Get instant alerts!

Space weather facts

Last X-flare2025/03/28X1.1
Last M-flare2025/04/08M1.5
Last geomagnetic storm2025/04/06Kp5 (G1)
Spotless days
Last spotless day2022/06/08
Monthly mean Sunspot Number
March 2025134.2 -20.4
April 2025144.7 +10.5
Last 30 days138.8 +1.3

This day in history*

Solar flares
12001X3.14
22002X1.17
32023M2.83
42002M2.34
52000M1.23
DstG
11990-281G4
21982-137G3
31957-124G3
41959-122G4
51960-81G3
*since 1994

Social networks