Viewing archive of Tuesday, 11 June 2013

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2013 Jun 11 1232 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 11 Jun 2013 until 13 Jun 2013
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
11 Jun 2013089007
12 Jun 2013085007
13 Jun 2013082007

Bulletin

Solar activity was moderate during the past 24 hours, with one noticeable event, a C1.9 flare, occurring in NOAA AR 1765, on June 10, at 14:24 UT peak time. It was accompanied by a small EUV coronal wave and a metric type II burst. Despite a data gap in coronagraphic data from STEREO and SOHO, around the time of the event, there is a hint around 1554 UT (STEREO COR2 A) of a small narrow CME possibly associated with this flare, but it seems to quickly vanish. NOAA AR 1765 decreased both in terms of sunspot number and area, and maintains a simple beta magnetic configuration. Being the only region on the disk, we expect therefore quiet conditions for flares, with a small chance of a C class event from this region. Geomagnetic activity is expected to be low for the next 48 hours. Current interplanetary conditions, as measured by ACE are quiet.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 010, based on 11 stations.

Solar indices for 10 Jun 2013

Wolf number Catania040
10cm solar flux093
AK Chambon La Forêt014
AK Wingst012
Estimated Ap014
Estimated international sunspot number016 - Based on 17 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Active geomagnetic conditions

Observed Kp: 4
Threshold reached: 22:46 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Reykjavik
Trondheim
Umeå
The direction of the interplanetary magnetic field is slightly South (-5.04nT).

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