Viewing archive of Thursday, 13 June 2013

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2013 Jun 13 1317 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 13 Jun 2013 until 15 Jun 2013
Solar flares

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
13 Jun 2013096007
14 Jun 2013097007
15 Jun 2013100007

Bulletin

Flaring activity was low for the past 24 hours, the strongest event being a B9.3 flare occurring in NOAA AR 1768 on June 13, 1006 UT peak time. A partial halo CME was observed on the same day around 0400 UT on LASCO, but observations indicate a backside event. Finally, a polar crown filament, in the southern hemisphere partially erupted on June 13, around 1200UT; coronagraphic observations of the event are not yet available. We foresee eruptive conditions for the next 48 hours, with a risk of a C flare from NOAA AR 1768. We currently have very quiet geomagnetic conditions. It is expected that this situation will prevail in the next 48 hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 039, based on 14 stations.

Solar indices for 12 Jun 2013

Wolf number Catania031
10cm solar flux093
AK Chambon La Forêt008
AK Wingst005
Estimated Ap004
Estimated international sunspot number020 - Based on 19 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Yellowknife, NT

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