Viewing archive of Saturday, 15 June 2013

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2013 Jun 15 1146 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 15 Jun 2013 until 17 Jun 2013
Solar flares

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
15 Jun 2013115008
16 Jun 2013117007
17 Jun 2013120007

Bulletin

Solar activity was moderate during the last 24 hours. A C1 flare took place in NOAA AR 1771, close to the East limb on June 15, peaking at 0400 UT. It was a long duration event linked to a CME as witness by SDO/AIA observations (there is a data gap in LASCO observations). There is no risk of geomagnetic consequences. We expect at most isolated C flares from the following ARs: AR 1768, AR 1769, and to a lesser extent AR 1772, 1770 and 1771. We expect essentially quiet geomagnetic conditions for the next 48 hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 066, based on 08 stations.

Solar indices for 14 Jun 2013

Wolf number Catania074
10cm solar flux109
AK Chambon La Forêt008
AK Wingst004
Estimated Ap003
Estimated international sunspot number043 - Based on 18 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Iqaluit, NU
Nuuk
Reykjavik

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