Viewing archive of Friday, 12 July 2013

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2013 Jul 12 1153 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 12 Jul 2013 until 14 Jul 2013
Solar flares

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
12 Jul 2013110011
13 Jul 2013106038
14 Jul 2013106017

Bulletin

During the last 24 hours three C-class flares originated from Catania sunspot group 24 (NOAA AR 1785). Further C-class flaring activity is likely from this region. No Earth effective CMEs were observed during this period. Current geomagnetic conditions are quiet to unsettled (K=1 to 3). Geomagnetic storm levels (K=5 to maximally 6) can be reached from tomorrow on due to the arrival (expected around 13h UT on the 13th) of the CME that erupted on the 9th.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 050, based on 13 stations.

Solar indices for 11 Jul 2013

Wolf number Catania102
10cm solar flux113
AK Chambon La Forêt030
AK Wingst021
Estimated Ap024
Estimated international sunspot number052 - Based on 23 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Active geomagnetic conditions

Observed Kp: 4
Threshold reached: 22:46 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Reykjavik

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi
Trondheim
Kiruna, Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå

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