Viewing archive of Saturday, 5 October 2013

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2013 Oct 05 1259 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 05 Oct 2013 until 07 Oct 2013
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
05 Oct 2013109005
06 Oct 2013109007
07 Oct 2013109007

Bulletin

None of the active regions on the solar disk poses a serious potential for flaring. In total, we estimate there is a 30% for a minor C-flare. Quiet (K<4) geomagnetic conditions are expected in the coming day. A partial halo CME was observed by LASCO, leaving the Sun towards the SE quadrant on Oct 4, 19:18. This event is determined to be back-sided and will thus not have geomagnetic consequences.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 039, based on 09 stations.

Solar indices for 04 Oct 2013

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux109
AK Chambon La Forêt003
AK Wingst001
Estimated Ap001
Estimated international sunspot number056 - Based on 18 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Iqaluit, NU
Nuuk

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