Viewing archive of Tuesday, 4 March 2014

Geophysical report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary 2014 Mar 04 0245 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary

SGAS Number 063 Issued at 0245Z on 04 Mar 2014 This report is compiled from data received at SWO on 03 Mar
A. Energetic Events
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
 0747 0747 0747                       160                           
 0758 0758 0758                       270                           
 1139 1139 1140                       210                           
 1446 1446 1446                       100                           
 1446 1446 1446                       120                           
 1529 1529 1529                       110                           
 1554 1558 1601  1989 N05W36 M1.2  Sn        89                     
 1609 1609 1610                       3400                          
 1915 1922 1932  1986        C1.9     320                           
 2053 2053 2053                       120                           
B. Proton Events
The greater than 10 MeV proton event which began at 25/1355Z from an X4/2b flare reached a maximum value of 103 pfu at 28/0845Z and ended at 03/0150Z. Proton flux values remained elevated but continued a trend of steady decline as they return to background levels.
C. Geomagnetic Activity Summary
Quiet
D. Stratwarm
Not available
E. Daily Indices: (real-time preliminary/estimated values)
10 cm 161  SSN 191  Afr/Ap 006/004   X-ray Background C1.0
Daily Proton Fluence (flux accumulation over 24 hrs)
GT 1 MeV 1.7e+07   GT 10 MeV 5.8e+05 p/(cm2-ster-day)
(GOES-13 satellite synchronous orbit W75 degrees)
Daily Electron Fluence
GT 2 MeV 3.60e+06 e/(cm2-ster-day)
(GOES-13 satellite synchronous orbit W75 degrees)
3 Hour K-indices
Boulder 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 Planetary 2 2 2 1 1 1 0 1 
F. Comments
  None

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Iqaluit, NU
Nuuk
Reykjavik
A transequatorial coronal hole was detected in an earth-facing position on Monday, 24 March 2025

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Monday, 24 March 2025
Coronal hole faces Earth

The anticipated strong G3 geomagnetic storm watch never materialized as the coronal mass ejection that was supposed to arrive early yesterday didn't arrive until today just past midnight UTC. The impact was very lackluster with the Bt (total strength of the IMF) increasing to a moderate 15nT at best and the solar wind speed reaching just 420km/s. A far cry from the anticipated 700 to 800km/s. That once again goes to show how hard it is to forecast space weather events and any resulting geomagnetic conditions. We remain under the influence of the CME and high latitude sky watchers should remain alert for some nice aurora displays but middle latitude sky watchers will probably have to wait for the next opportunity. 

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13:55 UTC - Coronal hole

A transequatorial coronal hole is facing Earth. Enhanced solar wind could arrive in ~3 days

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02:45 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 02:33 UTC

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