Viewing archive of Sunday, 6 July 2014
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2014 Jul 06 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 187 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Jul 2014IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at
06/0025Z from Region 2109 (S08E21). There are currently 11 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(07 Jul, 08 Jul, 09 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 303 km/s at
06/1229Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 06/2034Z. The maximum southward
component of Bz reached -3 nT at 06/0958Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (07 Jul, 08 Jul) and quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (09 Jul).
III. Event Probabilities 07 Jul to 09 Jul
| Class M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Class X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Proton | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Jul 201 Predicted 07 Jul-09 Jul 205/205/205 90 Day Mean 06 Jul 134
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Jul 005/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Jul 004/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Jul-09 Jul 005/005-006/005-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Jul to 09 Jul
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 20% |
All times in UTC
Currently there's no noteworthy space weather
Latest news
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
Coronal hole faces Earth
Sunday, 23 February 2025
X2.0 solar flare from sunspot region 4001
Friday, 7 February 2025
Coronal hole faces Earth, Minor G1 geomagnetic storm watch
Latest forum messages
Coronal Hole 22 85Filaments and prominences 719IP cameras for sky surveillance 53Ask your obscure/"stupid" space weather questions. 341Incoming & Unnumbered Active Regions 1629
More topicsSupport SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!
Latest alerts
Saturday, 15 March 2025
13:48 UTC - Hemispheric Power Index
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 52GW at 14:31 UTC
Friday, 14 March 2025
22:39 UTC - Solar flare
Moderate M1.16 flare
22:24 UTC - Radio Blackout
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.16)
10:55 UTC - Coronal hole
A southern hemisphere coronal hole is facing Earth. Enhanced solar wind could arrive in ~3 days
Space weather facts
| Last X-flare | 2025/02/23 | X2.0 |
| Last M-flare | 2025/03/14 | M1.1 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/14 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
| February 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
| March 2025 | 125.9 -28.7 |
| Last 30 days | 139.6 -15 |