Issued: 2014 Jul 25 1229 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
25 Jul 2014 | 109 | 011 |
26 Jul 2014 | 115 | 007 |
27 Jul 2014 | 120 | 007 |
Solar activity has been mostly quiet except for Catania group 22 (NOAA AR 2121) which did produce another C2 flare peaking at 7:02 UT. The background X-ray flux rose slightly to around the B3 level. Similar conditions (essentially quiet but with a significant chance for an occasional low level C flare) are expected to continue with an increasing C flare probability as some returning active regions are turning into view over the next days. These will eventually also raise a slight chance for M level flares. No Earth directed CME's have been observed. After reaching maxima of just over 400km/s at the start of the reporting period, solar wind speed decreased to a minimum of about 310 km/s and later increased again gradually to values presently about 360 km/s. The total magnetic field varied essentially in the 2 to 6.5 nT range with Bz also variable in the +-6nT range. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled (local K Dourbes 2-3 and NOAA Kp 1-3). Similar solar wind conditions as well as geomagnetic conditions (quiet to unsettled) are expected to continue over the next days.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 051, based on 21 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 076 |
10cm solar flux | 104 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 014 |
AK Wingst | 008 |
Estimated Ap | 007 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 049 - Based on 27 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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