Issued: 2014 Nov 28 1227 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
28 Nov 2014 | 182 | 007 |
29 Nov 2014 | 184 | 006 |
30 Nov 2014 | 186 | 007 |
NOAA 2222 has increased its sunspot area, but somewhat simplified its magnetic configuration, resulting in only 3 low-level C-class flares. To the southwest of this region, Catania 22 produced the strongest flare of the last 24 hours (C7.5 peaking at 00:40UT). The other sunspot regions were quiet, with NOAA 2219 still having some mixed polarities. The x-ray background flux has decreased to the C1 level. A filament eruption occurred between 04:45 and 05:45UT near and to the NW of NOAA 2222. The associated CME became first visible in LASCO/C2 at 05:48UT. It is not Earth-directed, like the other CMEs observed over the last 24 hours. C-class flaring is expected, with a chance on a low-level M-class flare. Solar wind speed gradually declined and varied between 400 and 350 km/s. The IMF is directed towards the Sun, with Bz mostly positive and varying between -10 and +10 nT. The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled (K<4) and is expected to remain so.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 104, based on 10 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 215 |
10cm solar flux | 179 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 011 |
AK Wingst | 009 |
Estimated Ap | 008 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 106 - Based on 15 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
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A southern hemisphere coronal hole is facing Earth. Enhanced solar wind could arrive in ~3 days
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 20:39 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 51GW at 18:18 UTC
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