Viewing archive of Friday, 2 January 2015

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2015 Jan 02 1215 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 02 Jan 2015 until 04 Jan 2015
Solar flares

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
02 Jan 2015141009
03 Jan 2015144008
04 Jan 2015147013

Bulletin

There are currently 8 sunspot regions visible on the solar disk. NOAA 2253 produced the only C-class flare of the period (C1.8 peaking at 19:05UT). NOAA 2253 has gained in sunspot area, and has developed a weak delta structure in its leading portion. No significant or earth-directed CMEs were detected. Further C-class flaring is expected, with a slight chance on an M-class flare from NOAA 2253. The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed varied between 410 and 450 km/s, while Bz was mostly negative and varied between -4 and +4 nT. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected. The extension of a southern polar coronal hole extension is transiting the CM. Its high speed stream may influence the geomagnetic field starting on 04 January.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 090, based on 10 stations.

Solar indices for 01 Jan 2015

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux138
AK Chambon La Forêt014
AK Wingst006
Estimated Ap006
Estimated international sunspot number069 - Based on 16 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Oulu, Rovaniemi, Kuopio
Arkhangelsk, Vorkuta
Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå
The direction of the interplanetary magnetic field is slightly South (-6.11nT).

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