Issued: 2015 Jan 02 1215 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
02 Jan 2015 | 141 | 009 |
03 Jan 2015 | 144 | 008 |
04 Jan 2015 | 147 | 013 |
There are currently 8 sunspot regions visible on the solar disk. NOAA 2253 produced the only C-class flare of the period (C1.8 peaking at 19:05UT). NOAA 2253 has gained in sunspot area, and has developed a weak delta structure in its leading portion. No significant or earth-directed CMEs were detected. Further C-class flaring is expected, with a slight chance on an M-class flare from NOAA 2253. The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed varied between 410 and 450 km/s, while Bz was mostly negative and varied between -4 and +4 nT. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected. The extension of a southern polar coronal hole extension is transiting the CM. Its high speed stream may influence the geomagnetic field starting on 04 January.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 090, based on 10 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 138 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 014 |
AK Wingst | 006 |
Estimated Ap | 006 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 069 - Based on 16 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:41 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 76GW at 08:57 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 01:45 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 00:44 UTC
Moderate M1.57 flare
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/08 | M1.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 144.7 +10.5 |
Last 30 days | 138.4 +2.2 |