Issued: 2015 Feb 24 1259 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
24 Feb 2015 | 117 | 028 |
25 Feb 2015 | 117 | 015 |
26 Feb 2015 | 117 | 007 |
Solar activity has been low. A C1.4 flare was detected today peaking at 10:57 UT, related to a filament eruption on the southeast limb of the Sun. No coroagraph data is available yet to observe an associated CME. The visible active regions have simple magnetic configuration (beta) and are not expected to produce more than C-class flaring. An active region rotating now over the east limb may increase activity levels in the coming hours. Geomagnetic activity reached active levels locally (K at Dourbes = 4, with Kp reaching 5) due to the fast solar wind from a coronal hole. Unsettled to active conditions can be expected in the next 24h.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 037, based on 07 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 117 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 048 |
AK Wingst | 018 |
Estimated Ap | 020 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 038 - Based on 18 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 21:37 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:41 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 76GW at 08:57 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 01:45 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 00:44 UTC
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/08 | M1.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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Last 30 days | 138.4 +2.2 |