Viewing archive of Tuesday, 24 March 2015

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2015 Mar 24 1220 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 24 Mar 2015 until 26 Mar 2015
Solar flares

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
24 Mar 2015130008
25 Mar 2015133009
26 Mar 2015135005

Bulletin

Solar activity continues to be low with only 3 C-class flares reported in the last 24 hours. The strongest flare was C1.5 flare, peaking at 05:54 UT this morning. The majority of the flaring activity originated from the Catania sunspot group 13 (NOAA AR 2305) which is growing in size and in number of sunspots. Since this sunspot group also maintains beta- gamma configuration of its photospheric magnetic field, it is the most probable source of the C-class flares expected in the coming hours. No Earth directed CMEs were observed during last 24 hours. The solar wind speed is slowly decreasing and it currently amounts about 550 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field is stable having the magnitude of about 5 nT. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet as reported by Izmiran (K=2) and NOAA (Kp=2). The local station at Dourbes reported value of K=5 during one interval this morning. In this time interval the solar wind speed was about 550 km/s and the Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field was fluctuating with lowest value of about - 4nT. We believe that the high value of K index reported by Dourbes is due to either some local fluctuation or possibly an error of measurements. We expect quiet to unsettled conditions in the coming hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 087, based on 14 stations.

Solar indices for 23 Mar 2015

Wolf number Catania141
10cm solar flux128
AK Chambon La Forêt023
AK Wingst024
Estimated Ap024
Estimated international sunspot number076 - Based on 21 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Iqaluit, NU
Nuuk
Reykjavik
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
C6.12

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