Viewing archive of Tuesday, 14 July 2015

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2015 Jul 14 1232 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 14 Jul 2015 until 16 Jul 2015
Solar flares

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
14 Jul 2015110010
15 Jul 2015110011
16 Jul 2015108007

Bulletin

NOAA AR 2381 produced a C1.0 flare peaking at 9:25 UT on July 14. More C flaring is possible. During the last 24 hours, solar wind speed gradually decreased from about 520 to 450 km/s, while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field varied between 6 and 9 nT. Bz was mostly below -4 nT between about 14:30 and 20:00 UT on July 13, which resulted in a geomagnetic storm (NOAA Kp = 5 between 18h and 21h UT, K Dourbes = 6 between 20h and 22h UT). Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes < 5) with possible minor storm excursions (K Dourbes = 5) are expected on July 14 and 15. Quiet to unsettled conditions (K Dourbes < 4) are likely on July 16.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 047, based on 13 stations.

Solar indices for 13 Jul 2015

Wolf number Catania044
10cm solar flux110
AK Chambon La Forêt043
AK Wingst035
Estimated Ap030
Estimated international sunspot number055 - Based on 19 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Yellowknife, NT

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