Viewing archive of Monday, 10 August 2015

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2015 Aug 10 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 10 Aug 2015 until 12 Aug 2015
Solar flares

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
10 Aug 2015115011
11 Aug 2015110010
12 Aug 2015108008

Bulletin

Solar activity is very low and only B-class flares were reported during the last 24 hours. The largest reported sunspot group, NOAA AR 2396, has the potential to be the source of the C-class flares and possibly but not very probably also the source of an isolated M-class flare. The solar wind speed is currently 520 km/s, and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is rather stable having value of about 5nT. The glancing blow from the CME-driven shock wave associated with the partial halo CME, first seen in the SOHO/LASCO C2 field of view at 00:12 UT on August 08, might arrive (although this is not very probable) in the morning of August 11. The geomagnetic conditions are presently quiet and we expect them to remain so in the coming hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 067, based on 13 stations.

Solar indices for 09 Aug 2015

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux115
AK Chambon La Forêt020
AK Wingst012
Estimated Ap013
Estimated international sunspot number070 - Based on 30 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Active geomagnetic conditions

Observed Kp: 4
Threshold reached: 22:46 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu
Reykjavik
Trondheim
Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå

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