Viewing archive of Tuesday, 11 August 2015

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2015 Aug 11 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 11 Aug 2015 until 13 Aug 2015
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
11 Aug 2015101010
12 Aug 2015097010
13 Aug 2015095010

Bulletin

Solar activity remains to be very low with only B-class flares reported during the last 24 hours. The only large sunspot group visible on the solar disc, NOAA AR 2396 is decaying but it still has potential to be the source of the B-class flares and possibly also an isolated C-class flare. No Earth directed CMEs were observed during last 24 hours.

The Earth is inside the slow solar wind with the speed of about 440 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude was fluctuating, between 5 and 10nT, during the last 10 hours and its current value is about 5nT. The geomagnetic conditions are presently quiet and we expect them to remain so in the coming hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 080, based on 21 stations.

Solar indices for 10 Aug 2015

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux106
AK Chambon La Forêt017
AK Wingst010
Estimated Ap011
Estimated international sunspot number064 - Based on 30 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 6
Threshold reached: 16:44 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Surgut

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Yakutsk, Yekaterinburg
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (16.17nT), the direction is moderately South (-16.09nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-150nT)

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17:00 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 16:34 UTC

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