Viewing archive of Wednesday, 12 August 2015

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2015 Aug 12 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 12 Aug 2015 until 14 Aug 2015
Solar flares

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
12 Aug 2015100010
13 Aug 2015101009
14 Aug 2015098009

Bulletin

The strongest flare reported during last 24 hours was the C1.0 flare peaking at 15:15 UT, on August 11. We expect B-class flares and possibly also an isolated C-class flare in the coming hours, in particular from the NOAA AR 2396 and rather fast growing NOAA AR 2400. No Earth directed CMEs were observed during last 24 hours.

The Earth is currently inside the slow solar wind. The with speed is fluctuating between 370 and 430 km/s, and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is about 7nT. The fast flow from the equatorial coronal hole, which reached the central meridian this morning, might arrive on August 15. The geomagnetic conditions are presently quiet and we expect them to remain so in the coming hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 066, based on 14 stations.

Solar indices for 11 Aug 2015

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux103
AK Chambon La Forêt013
AK Wingst010
Estimated Ap010
Estimated international sunspot number076 - Based on 31 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Sodankylä
Reykjavik
Kiruna

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Kuopio
Bergen, Trondheim
Arkhangelsk
Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Tampere

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