Issued: 2015 Aug 12 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
12 Aug 2015 | 100 | 010 |
13 Aug 2015 | 101 | 009 |
14 Aug 2015 | 098 | 009 |
The strongest flare reported during last 24 hours was the C1.0 flare peaking at 15:15 UT, on August 11. We expect B-class flares and possibly also an isolated C-class flare in the coming hours, in particular from the NOAA AR 2396 and rather fast growing NOAA AR 2400. No Earth directed CMEs were observed during last 24 hours.
The Earth is currently inside the slow solar wind. The with speed is fluctuating between 370 and 430 km/s, and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is about 7nT. The fast flow from the equatorial coronal hole, which reached the central meridian this morning, might arrive on August 15. The geomagnetic conditions are presently quiet and we expect them to remain so in the coming hours.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 066, based on 14 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 103 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 013 |
AK Wingst | 010 |
Estimated Ap | 010 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 076 - Based on 31 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
SodankyläCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
TórshavnCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
TampereA lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 21:37 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:41 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 76GW at 08:57 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 01:45 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 00:44 UTC
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/08 | M1.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
---|---|
Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
---|---|
March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 144.7 +10.5 |
Last 30 days | 138.8 +1.3 |