Viewing archive of Thursday, 16 July 2015

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2015 Jul 16 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 16 Jul 2015 until 18 Jul 2015
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
16 Jul 2015101010
17 Jul 2015101007
18 Jul 2015101007

Bulletin

The Sun produced no C flares during the past 24 hours. B flaring is expected, with a chance for a C flare. During the past 24 hours, solar wind speed varied between about 440 and 590 km/s, while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field decreased from about 7 to 4 nT. Bz fluctuated a lot, with only brief periods below -4 nT during the period. Over the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions have been quiet to unsettled (K Dourbes between 2 and 3; NOAA Kp between 2 and 3). Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on July 16, 17, and 18.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 053, based on 20 stations.

Solar indices for 15 Jul 2015

Wolf number Catania068
10cm solar flux101
AK Chambon La Forêt015
AK Wingst010
Estimated Ap009
Estimated international sunspot number048 - Based on 23 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Active geomagnetic conditions

Observed Kp: 4
Threshold reached: 04:39 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Yellowknife, NT
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
C5.02

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