Viewing archive of Monday, 5 October 2015
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 278 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Oct 2015IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 06 Oct to 08 Oct
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 Oct 083 Predicted 06 Oct-08 Oct 080/080/080 90 Day Mean 05 Oct 104
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Oct 016/025 Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Oct 015/018 Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Oct-08 Oct 009/008-012/014-025/036
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Oct to 08 Oct
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 25% | 35% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 10% | 25% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 15% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Major-severe storm | 25% | 35% | 65% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MBCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Iqaluit, NUNuuk
Reykjavik
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