Viewing archive of Friday, 9 October 2015

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2015 Oct 09 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 09 Oct 2015 until 11 Oct 2015
Solar flares

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
09 Oct 2015080031
10 Oct 2015082037
11 Oct 2015084031

Bulletin

Solar activity remains very low, no C-class flares in past 24h. A new active region rotating over the east limb may create C-class flares in the coming hours. The Earth is still inside the (vanishing) influence of the fast speed stream from an equatorial coronal hole. Geomagnetic conditions have decayed to active levels. They may increase again as the fast solar wind stream from a northern latitude coronal hole may arrive to the Earth within 48h. The CME from October 7 has low chances of hitting the Earth in 24h.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 024, based on 19 stations.

Solar indices for 08 Oct 2015

Wolf number Catania041
10cm solar flux080
AK Chambon La Forêt051
AK Wingst043
Estimated Ap048
Estimated international sunspot number034 - Based on 28 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Iqaluit, NU
Nuuk
Reykjavik

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