Issued: 2015 Dec 25 1257 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
25 Dec 2015 | 132 | 006 |
26 Dec 2015 | 131 | 006 |
27 Dec 2015 | 130 | 005 |
Only two weak C-class flares were observed during the past 24 hours, both in the NOAA AR 2473 (Catania number 5). The strongest flare was the C2.1 flare peaking at 09:35 UT. We expect flaring activity on the C-level, with an isolated M-class flare possible but unlikely. The Earth is currently inside a solar wind flow with an intermediate speed (around 480 km/s). The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is average (5-6 nT). The geomagnetic conditions are on the quiet to unsettled levels and are expected to remain so.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 084, based on 09 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 133 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | /// |
AK Wingst | 012 |
Estimated Ap | 011 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 062 - Based on 20 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Norilsk, VorkutaCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
ArkhangelskCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 51GW at 18:18 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 01:50 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 20:20 UTC
Moderate M1.05 flare
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.05)
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/05 | M1.0 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 148.7 +14.5 |
Last 30 days | 132.7 -9.9 |