Viewing archive of Sunday, 7 February 2016

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2016 Feb 07 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 07 Feb 2016 until 09 Feb 2016
Solar flares

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
07 Feb 2016120006
08 Feb 2016125007
09 Feb 2016125007

Bulletin

Solar activity again was very low with four lower C-class flares (C1.7 as maximum), originating from NOAA active regions (AR) 2494 and 2496. NOAA ARs 2495 and 2497 have clearly grown in number of spots, while NOAA 2492 has also shown some development in its leading and intermediate part. NOAA AR 2494 is further decaying especially in its leading area. All other regions remained largely simple. Flaring activity is expected at C-level, with a slight chance for an M-class flare. No new Earth-directed CMEs were observed.

The solar wind conditions were normal with magnitude of interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) maximally 6 nT and solar wind speed between 400 and 450 km/s.

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet (K=1-2) to unsettled (K=3), both at the local (Dourbes) and global level (NOAA estimate), which are expected to continue till the possible arrival of an Earth-directed component of the February 5 CME on February 9.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 095, based on 13 stations.

Solar indices for 06 Feb 2016

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux117
AK Chambon La Forêt017
AK Wingst008
Estimated Ap008
Estimated international sunspot number082 - Based on 13 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Iqaluit, NU
Nuuk
Reykjavik
The direction of the interplanetary magnetic field is slightly South (-6.61nT).
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
C6.12

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