Viewing archive of Saturday, 5 March 2016

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2016 Mar 05 1328 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 05 Mar 2016 until 07 Mar 2016
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
05 Mar 2016103010
06 Mar 2016101010
07 Mar 2016099007

Bulletin

There are currently ten numbered sunspot groups visible on the solar disc, majority of them having beta configuration of their photospheric magnetic field. The solar activity remains low with no C-class flares reported during the last 24 hours. The strongest reported flare was B4.7 flare which peaked at 10:56 UT on March 5. The flare originated from the Catania sunspot group 27 (NOAA 2506) currently situated at the West solar limb. We might expect isolated C-class flares (probability is about 35 %) in the coming hours. No Earth directed CMEs were observed in the last 24 hours.

The solar wind speed and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude did not show significant change in last 24 hours, and their average values are still about 380 km/s and 5 nT, respectively. The arrival of the fast solar wind associated with the small equatorial coronal hole which reached the central meridian in the morning of March 2, might be expected at the Earth today. The geomagnetic conditions are currently quiet, we expect quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions in the coming hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 075, based on 06 stations.

Solar indices for 04 Mar 2016

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux101
AK Chambon La Forêt004
AK Wingst004
Estimated Ap003
Estimated international sunspot number100 - Based on 25 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Active geomagnetic conditions

Observed Kp: 4
Threshold reached: 22:46 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Reykjavik
Trondheim
Umeå
The direction of the interplanetary magnetic field is slightly South (-5.04nT).

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