Viewing archive of Tuesday, 5 April 2016

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2016 Apr 05 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 05 Apr 2016 until 07 Apr 2016
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
05 Apr 2016083008
06 Apr 2016084007
07 Apr 2016083008

Bulletin

Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been low. The largest flare was a B4.6 class flare, produced by Active Region (AR) 2528 (Macintosh class:Bxo; Mag. type:Beta), which peaked at 07:37 UT this morning. This AR 2528 is currently the only significant region on disk with evidence of small amounts of flux cancellation in HMI magnetogram observations. There are two other ARs 2527 and AR 2526 (Hsx; Alpha), and 2526 has moved onto the West limb. No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. Solar protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours. Solar activity is expected to remain low over the next 24 hours with a low probability of C-class flares. The solar wind speed has fluctuated between 350 to 450 km/s over the past 24 hours. The total magnetic field strength remained stable with the magnitude varying between 6 and 8 nT. The Bz component remained around 0 nT, varying between +9 and -7 nT. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 1-3 (NOAA) and local K index 1-3 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. There is currently a small coronal hole on disk. Geomagnetic activity is expected to remain low within next 2 days.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 033, based on 19 stations.

Solar indices for 04 Apr 2016

Wolf number Catania045
10cm solar flux083
AK Chambon La Forêt009
AK Wingst008
Estimated Ap006
Estimated international sunspot number038 - Based on 28 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Active geomagnetic conditions

Observed Kp: 4
Threshold reached: 22:46 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Reykjavik

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi
Trondheim
Kiruna, Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå

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