Issued: 2016 Jun 15 1230 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
15 Jun 2016 | 087 | 019 |
16 Jun 2016 | 086 | 019 |
17 Jun 2016 | 088 | 015 |
Solar activity was very low with no flares above the B-class in the past 24 hours. An isolated C-class flare remains possible but unlikely. The Earth is currently inside a fast (around 620 km/s) solar wind flow produced by either of the low-latitude coronal holes that reached the solar central meridian on June 12. The Kp index reported by NOAA reached 6 yesterday evening in response to the arrival of the interaction region between the fast solar wind and the preceding slow wind flow. Dourbes and IZMIRAN reported K = 5. Currently the geomagnetic conditions are unsettled (NOAA, Dourbes) to active (IZMIRAN). Further geomagnetic storming (probably up to K = 5 level) remains possible.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 041, based on 21 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 056 |
10cm solar flux | 088 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 032 |
AK Wingst | 022 |
Estimated Ap | 021 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 039 - Based on 30 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 22:47 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 21:37 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:41 UTC
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Last M-flare | 2025/04/08 | M1.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
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