Issued: 2016 Jun 20 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
20 Jun 2016 | 085 | 007 |
21 Jun 2016 | 083 | 013 |
22 Jun 2016 | 082 | 007 |
Solar activity was low with X-ray flux remaining below C Level. All the regions on the visible disk are fairly simple, NOAA AR 2558 can produce C-class flares. No Earth directed CMEs have been recorded in coronagraph data.
Solar wind speed is at 450 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field intensity at 4 nT. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled. The same situation is expected to continue today and active conditions are expected from June 21 (late) onwards due to a high speed stream from a coronal hole.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 034, based on 11 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 085 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 009 |
AK Wingst | 006 |
Estimated Ap | 005 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 053 - Based on 23 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 04:56 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:32 UTC
Moderate M2.5 flare
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.45)
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/01 | M2.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/27 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
---|---|
Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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February 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
April 2025 | 152.5 -2.1 |
Last 30 days | 130.7 -17.9 |