Issued: 2016 Jun 19 1232 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
19 Jun 2016 | 084 | 007 |
20 Jun 2016 | 084 | 007 |
21 Jun 2016 | 084 | 007 |
Solar activity was low with X-ray flux remaining initially below C level, while a C flare was eventually produced just before the end of the period by a newly emerging region near N12W30 (numbered NOAA 2558). It peaked at 11:58UT at magnitude C1.7. New region NOAA 2557 also got numbered but seems to be short lived. Most regions on disk are fairly simple and mostly inactive and X-ray flux is expected to remain mostly below C-level, while C-flaring remains possible from the newly emerging region 2558. No Earth directed CME's have been recorded in coronagraph data. Solar wind speed remained elevated with a maximum of around 650 km/s and later a decrease to values of around 550 km/s. Total magnetic field further decreased to a nominal 4nT with Bz variable. The magnetic field phi angle indicated a positive polarity sector. Solar wind conditions should further recover to nominal levels. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled (both local K Dourbes and NOAA Kp 1-3) and are expected to remain so.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 055, based on 16 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 084 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 014 |
AK Wingst | 010 |
Estimated Ap | 009 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 049 - Based on 23 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 22:47 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 21:37 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:41 UTC
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Spotless days | |
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