Viewing archive of Saturday, 9 July 2016

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2016 Jul 09 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 09 Jul 2016 until 11 Jul 2016
Solar flares

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
09 Jul 2016090009
10 Jul 2016090006
11 Jul 2016090020

Bulletin

Solar activity was restricted to a few B-class flares, contributed by NOAA active regions 2561, 2563 and 2564 (Catania numbers 3, 4 and 6 respectively). No Earth-directed CMEs were observed. Flare activity at the C-level is possible (40% chance).

The solar wind disturbance remains due to high speed stream influences. The solar wind speed obtained values up to 650 km/s. The magnetic field magnitude ranges between 5 and 10 nT, with a fluctuating Bz. The disturbance caused geomagnetic activity up to K=4 (local at Dourbes) levels and up to K=5 for a few time slots (global Kp of Potzdam and NOAA). Geomagnetic conditions are expected to return to quiet to unsettled levels during the next 24 to 48 hours. Another enhancement of the solar wind speed may follow from July 11 due to influences of a following coronal hole, which caused solar wind speeds of more than 700 km/s during the past Carrington rotation.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 059, based on 22 stations.

Solar indices for 08 Jul 2016

Wolf number Catania057
10cm solar flux087
AK Chambon La Forêt030
AK Wingst023
Estimated Ap025
Estimated international sunspot number041 - Based on 32 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

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