Issued: 2016 Aug 05 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
05 Aug 2016 | 079 | 017 |
06 Aug 2016 | 081 | 014 |
07 Aug 2016 | 081 | 007 |
Solar activity was low. In the past 24 hours, new beta region NOAA AR 2571 produced several B flares and one C1.4 flare (peaking at 10:12 UT on August 5). More C flares are possible in the next 24 hours. Solar wind speed measured by DSCOVR varied between about 530 and 680 km/s, indicative of a high speed stream. The magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field varied between about 2 and 8 nT. In the past 24 hours, quiet to active geomagnetic levels were registered (K Dourbes between 1 and 4; NOAA Kp between 2 and 4). Active levels (K Dourbes = 4) are possible on August 5 and 6 under the influence of the coronal hole high speed stream, with a slight chance for a minor geomagnetic storm (K Dourbes = 5). A return to quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions is expected on August 7.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 037, based on 22 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 076 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 026 |
AK Wingst | 021 |
Estimated Ap | 023 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 012 - Based on 30 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MBCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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Moderate M1.66 flare from sunspot region 4055
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.01)
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 21:39 UTC
Moderate M3.24 flare from sunspot region 4055
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.07)
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/13 | M1.6 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 136.4 +2.2 |
Last 30 days | 134.2 -8.9 |