Viewing archive of Tuesday, 16 August 2016

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2016 Aug 16 1238 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 16 Aug 2016 until 18 Aug 2016
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
16 Aug 2016088004
17 Aug 2016087007
18 Aug 2016085001

Bulletin

Solar activity is very low. Only two B flares were observed over the past 24 hours. Five active regions are presently observed on the visible side of the solar disc. Their photospheric magnetic field configuration is simple (beta and alpha configuration). One narrow fast CME coming from the East limb was detected by CACTUS at 17:48 yesterday (15-Aug-2016) originated by an eruptive prominence from the NE limb as observed by ADO/AIA imagery. No geoeffective effects are expected. The high speed stream originated from a low latitude coronal hole has not interacted with Earth geomagnetic field. Solar proton flux intensity is expected to lie within the background levels. Solar activity is expected to be low with small probability for C-class flares.

Solar wind speed continued to decline till 310 km/s as observed around 12:00 UT today (16-08-2016). The magnetic field intensity (Bt) remained below 5 nT. The Bz component was mostly positive or neutral. The local K index at Dourbes was ranged between 1 and 3 (planetary Kp index was ranged between 1 and 2) during last 24 hours. The solar wind parameters are expected to be low and geomagnetic field to remain quiet and undisturbed.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 083, based on 23 stations.

Solar indices for 15 Aug 2016

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux088
AK Chambon La Forêt005
AK Wingst004
Estimated Ap003
Estimated international sunspot number063 - Based on 31 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NT
Fairbanks, AK

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