Issued: 2016 Oct 09 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
09 Oct 2016 | 103 | 007 |
10 Oct 2016 | 102 | 008 |
11 Oct 2016 | 101 | 007 |
Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been very low. No significant flares have been recorded. All Active Regions (AR) have shown little activity. AR 2598 (Mcintosh class:Dai; Mag. type:Beta) has shown evidence of flux emergence in HMI magnetogram observations, which may result in increased flaring activity around the C-class level over the next 24 hours. No Earth directed CMEs have been observed. The solar wind speed has slowly declined from around 450 to around 380 km/s over the past 24 hours. The total magnetic field strength has remained around 5 nT. The Bz component fluctuated between -5 and +5 nT, but remained mainly negative. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 1-2 (NOAA) and local K index 1-3 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. There is currently a small positive polarity Northern polar coronal hole which shouldn't affect the Earth.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 072, based on 16 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 104 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 011 |
AK Wingst | 008 |
Estimated Ap | 008 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 064 - Based on 20 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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