Viewing archive of Friday, 18 August 2017

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2017 Aug 18 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 18 Aug 2017 until 20 Aug 2017
Solar flares

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
18 Aug 2017077017
19 Aug 2017078010
20 Aug 2017079007

Bulletin

NOAA AR 2671 has reduced its complexity (now has beta-gamma magnetic configuration) and decreased in size, it has not produced any flare above the B-class level in the last 48 h. The situation can change as this region can generate C-class flares, and has potential for M-class flares.

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. Solar protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours.

The Earth is inside a high speed solar wind stream, the speed is around 600 km/s with interplanetary magnetic field intensity of 6 nT. Kp reached 5 and the local K went up to 4, on August 18. More disturbed conditions can be expected in the next 48 h.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 042, based on 15 stations.

Solar indices for 17 Aug 2017

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux077
AK Chambon La Forêt044
AK Wingst026
Estimated Ap031
Estimated international sunspot number040 - Based on 28 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Active geomagnetic conditions

Observed Kp: 4
Threshold reached: 20:39 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä, Utsjoki
Kirkenes, Tromsø, Trondheim
Arkhangelsk, Murmansk
Kiruna, Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå

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