Viewing archive of Monday, 21 January 2019

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2019 Jan 21 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 21 Jan 2019 until 23 Jan 2019
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
21 Jan 2019069006
22 Jan 2019068008
23 Jan 2019067013

Bulletin

During last 24 hours solar activity was very low with no C-class and even B-class flares reported. As there are no numbered active regions observed on the visible side of the solar disc, we expect such a low flaring activity to persist in the coming hours. The coronagraph images do not show any signatures of the possibly Earth- directed CME. The solar proton flux is at the background level.

The Earth is presently inside the slow solar wind with the speed of about 320 km, and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is about 3 nT. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and we expect them to remain so in the coming hours. The unsettled geomagnetic conditions can be expected starting from the late evening of January 22, due to expected arrival of the fast solar wind from the extended positive polarity equatorial coronal hole which reached central meridian in the morning of January 19.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 13 stations.

Solar indices for 20 Jan 2019

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux069
AK Chambon La Forêt005
AK Wingst004
Estimated Ap002
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 25 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Active geomagnetic conditions

Observed Kp: 4
Threshold reached: 20:39 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Kuopio, Sodankylä, Utsjoki
Kirkenes, Tromsø, Trondheim
Arkhangelsk, Murmansk, Vorkuta
Kiruna, Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå

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