Viewing archive of Tuesday, 22 January 2019

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2019 Jan 22 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 22 Jan 2019 until 24 Jan 2019
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
22 Jan 2019070007
23 Jan 2019071015
24 Jan 2019071010

Bulletin

During last 24 hours there were no C-class flares reported. New and still not numbered active region, which started to emerged yesterday morning, became more complex and it was source of A-class flares and one B-class flare this morning. We expect such a low flaring activity to persist in the coming hours. Isolated low C-class flares are possible but not very probable. There were no Earth directed CMEs reported during last 24 hours and the solar protons remained at the background level.

The Earth is still inside the slow solar wind with the speed of about 310 km. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is presently about 4 nT. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and we expect them to remain so in the coming hours. The unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions can be expected starting from the late evening today, due to expected arrival of the fast solar wind from the extended positive polarity equatorial coronal hole which reached central meridian in the morning of January 19.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 017, based on 15 stations.

Solar indices for 21 Jan 2019

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux070
AK Chambon La Forêt006
AK Wingst004
Estimated Ap002
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 18 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Vorkuta
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (524.1 km/sec.)
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
M1.08

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