Issued: 2019 Oct 01 1230 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
01 Oct 2019 | 068 | 015 |
02 Oct 2019 | 068 | 011 |
03 Oct 2019 | 067 | 008 |
Solar activity was at very low levels. A small and as yet unnumbered sunspot region developed near S09E75, producing a B1 flare at 01:45UT (GOES) and ending a 27 days stretch of spotless days (SILSO). No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) have been observed in available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal values.
Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.
Solar wind speed undulated between mostly 400 and 510 km/s, ending the period with values near 480 km/s (ACE). Bz ranged from -6 to + 5 nT, with negative stretches during the 12-15UT and 00-06UT intervals. Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions were recorded in both Kp and K Dourbes. The interplanetary magnetic field (phi angle) was mostly directed away from the Sun (positive sector).
Geomagnetic activity is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels, with a decreasing chance on another active episode.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 011, based on 14 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 068 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 022 |
AK Wingst | 013 |
Estimated Ap | 015 |
Estimated international sunspot number | /// - Based on /// stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Norilsk, VorkutaCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
ArkhangelskCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 51GW at 18:18 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 01:50 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 20:20 UTC
Moderate M1.05 flare
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.05)
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/05 | M1.0 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
---|---|
Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
---|---|
March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 148.7 +14.5 |
Last 30 days | 132.7 -9.9 |