Viewing archive of Wednesday, 2 October 2019

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2019 Oct 02 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 02 Oct 2019 until 04 Oct 2019
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
02 Oct 2019069011
03 Oct 2019068010
04 Oct 2019068013

Bulletin

Solar activity was at very low levels. Decaying sunspot group NOAA 2749 is barely visible and was quiet during the period. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) have been observed in available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal values.

Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.

Solar wind speed remained enhanced, varying between mostly 450 and 520 km/s, and ending the period with values near 480 km/s (ACE). Bz ranged from -4 to + 2 nT, but was near 0 nT for most of the time. The interplanetary magnetic field (phi angle) was directed away from the Sun (positive sector). Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions were recorded in both Kp and K Dourbes.

Geomagnetic activity is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels until around 4 October, when the wind stream from a patchy negative polarity coronal hole in the southern solar hemisphere may exert some influence on the earth environment. Mostly unsettled conditions are expected then.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 007, based on 21 stations.

Solar indices for 01 Oct 2019

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux069
AK Chambon La Forêt013
AK Wingst012
Estimated Ap012
Estimated international sunspot number011 - Based on 19 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Gillam, MB, Yellowknife, NT

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