Viewing archive of Monday, 7 October 2019

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2019 Oct 07 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 07 Oct 2019 until 09 Oct 2019
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
07 Oct 2019067005
08 Oct 2019067006
09 Oct 2019066006

Bulletin

Solar activity was at very low levels, no significant flares have been recorded. The Sun remained spotless. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) have been observed in the available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal values.

Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.

The solar wind speed gradually decreased from approximately 400 km/s to 350 km/s (ACE). The interplanetary magnetic field was predominantly directed away from the Sun (positive sector). Bz was mostly negative with values recorded between -5 and +2 nT. Geomagnetic activity was quiet to unsettled, with the Kp index (NOAA) and the local k index (Dourbes) recording values between 0-1 and 0-3, respectively.

Quiet conditions are expected to continue over the next 48 hours with possible isolated unsettled periods, due to the weak influence a negative polarity coronal hole.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 14 stations.

Solar indices for 06 Oct 2019

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux067
AK Chambon La Forêt007
AK Wingst005
Estimated Ap004
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 20 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Rovaniemi, Sodankylä

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Oulu, Kuopio
Arkhangelsk, Vorkuta
Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Petrozavodsk
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (531.1 km/sec.)

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