Viewing archive of Thursday, 6 February 2020

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2020 Feb 06 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 06 Feb 2020 until 08 Feb 2020
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
06 Feb 2020071017
07 Feb 2020071015
08 Feb 2020071007

Bulletin

X-ray flux remained below B level throughout the period. The Sun is spotless and no flaring is expected.

No Earth-directed CMEs have been observed in coronagraph data.

The proton flux levels were at background values and expected to remain so.

Solar wind showed the expected enhancements under the influence of a high speed stream from an extension of the southern polar coronal hole. Since midnight, Solar wind speed increased from 350km/s to 460 km/s. Total magnetic field reached a peak value of 11nT in the compression region, with Bz around -10nT for a while. The magnetic field phi angle was in the negative sector throughout the period. Solar wind speed is expected to rise further to a maximum of between 500-600 km/s over the next 24 hours before starting a slow return to background values.

Geomagnetic conditions reached active levels (NOAA Kp=5 for the 6-9UT period, while local K Dourbes remained 0-3). Unsettled to active conditions are expected over the next 24 hours before returning to quiet to unsettled conditions.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 18 stations.

Solar indices for 05 Feb 2020

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux071
AK Chambon La Forêt008
AK Wingst005
Estimated Ap004
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 26 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Active geomagnetic conditions

Observed Kp: 4
Threshold reached: 04:39 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Edmonton, AB, Gillam, MB, Saskatoon, SK, Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NT
Juneau, AK
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
M4.28

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