Viewing archive of Saturday, 4 July 2020
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Jul 04 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 186 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Jul 2020IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (05 Jul, 06 Jul, 07 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 434 km/s at 04/2007Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 04/1833Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at
04/1856Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 145 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (05 Jul) and quiet levels
on days two and three (06 Jul, 07 Jul).
III. Event Probabilities 05 Jul to 07 Jul
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Jul 070 Predicted 05 Jul-07 Jul 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 04 Jul 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Jul 005/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Jul 006/007 Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Jul-07 Jul 009/008-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Jul to 07 Jul
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 10% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 25% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
Latest news
Monday, 23 December 2024
M9.0 solar flare with earth-directed CME
Sunday, 8 December 2024
X2.2 solar flare, SDO outage
Thursday, 21 November 2024
Major far side eruption, S1 radiation storm
Latest forum messages
AR 3938 23AR 3939 42024/12/23 AR13932 M8.9 & M4.1 associated CMEs 49Sunspot Latitudes at or near Solar Maximum 77AR13936 9
More topicsSupport SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!
Space weather facts
| Last X-flare | 2024/12/08 | X2.2 |
| Last M-flare | 2024/12/26 | M7.3 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2024/12/17 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
| November 2024 | 152.5 -13.9 |
| December 2024 | 119.3 -33.2 |
| Last 30 days | 122 -35.7 |