Viewing archive of Monday, 29 March 2021
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2021 Mar 29 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 88 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Mar 2021IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (30 Mar, 31 Mar, 01 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 377 km/s at 28/2149Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 769 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (30 Mar, 31 Mar)
and quiet levels on day three (01 Apr).
III. Event Probabilities 30 Mar to 01 Apr
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 29 Mar 074 Predicted 30 Mar-01 Apr 075/075/074 90 Day Mean 29 Mar 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Mar 004/003 Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Mar 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Mar-01 Apr 007/008-009/010-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Mar to 01 Apr
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 20% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 20% | 25% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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